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What's Up Southeast Valley? March 2021

The Amy Jones Group
Mar 1 17 minutes read

Spring is Upon Us!

Welcome back to our What's Up Southeast Valley for the month of March!

Happy Spring! With warmer weather on the way, we're getting back into the swing of work, school and resuming travel. The real estate market is still busy and we're continuing to connect with you, our community and local small businesses!

We LOVE our clients, community, local businesses, giving back and serving YOU. Let's have an incredible month together!

Join Our Team

The Amy Jones Group is RAPIDLY growing! We are hiring Real Estate Sales Professionals & for someone to fill our Transaction Coordinator Role out of our Gilbert office. On pace to serve more than 175 families in 2021 alone, we are looking for EXPERIENCED agents to join our Southeast Valley team. Known for our excellent client care, exceptional negotiation skills, world class digital marketing, and being trusted advisors in the SE Valley for more than a decade - we are looking for hard working, ethical, creative, real estate professionals who love to learn and thrive in a team environment, where giving back and giving to each other is important to our overall success. For more information on who we are and how to apply, visit https://www.amyjonesgroup.com/careers or send your resume to [email protected]!

Serving The Community

We continue to face our daily challenges and uncertain times together and are thankful and grateful for our team and all of your support! We are looking forward to the connecting with and serving the community together in 2021. We have remained diligent in supporting our community through highlighting local businesses, starting a women in leadership series, renovating a local teen center, giving back through food, water & clothing drives, helping families continue to move forward through weekly COVID-19 challenges and changes, pivoting our business model to meet the needs of our clients & business partners, offering more virtual services, growing our team, finding new ways to thank our current and past clients, reaching as many of you as possible and spreading the word that we are here for you no matter what! We're looking forward to thriving in 2021 with you!

ICAN Teen Center Renovation

After visiting the ICAN Teen Center in 2020 for one of our Live Love Local series, we decided the space could use a little love. Home to hundreds of teens who are served through after school programming the center provides Chandler's youth with a positive environment for learning to make some of life's toughest decisions. In partnership with Fidelity National Title, Fairway Independent Mortgage, Complete Home Renovations, IronDrive, Elite Shutters and Blinds, and Spice Up Your Home - we were able to bring this dream to life for the teens on Martin Luther King Jr. Day 2021. We were so honored to be featured in the Gilbert Sun News and hope that the article will help bring awareness to this amazing piece of our community!

👀 Watch Our LIVE

At What Price Would You Sell Your Home?

We all know that housing inventory is low and home prices are still rising, but we have buyer’s that are ready to buy NOW! Let’s talk about your “make me move” price and discuss the current value of your home and what it could sell for in today’s market. You have options, and could even sell your home off the market with little OR no showings. Click the link below to schedule a time to talk to one of our Listing Specialists TODAY!

 

Market Update

Here are the basics - the ARMLS numbers for March 1, 2021 compared with March 1, 2020 for all areas & types:

  • Active Listings (excluding UCB & CCBS): 4,491 versus 11,003 last year - down 59.2% - and down 13.3% from 5,180 last month
  • Active Listings (including UCB & CCBS): 9,094 versus 15,776 last year - down 42.4% - and down 6.5% compared with 9,727 last month
  • Pending Listings: 8,027 versus 7,215 last year - up 11.3% - and up 13.5% from 7,070 last month
  • Under Contract Listings (including Pending, CCBS & UCB): 12,630 versus 11,988 last year - up 5.4% - and up 8.7% from 11,617 last month
  • Monthly Sales: 8,020 versus 7,470 last year - up 7.4% - and up 9.1% from 7,354 last month
  • Monthly Average Sales Price per Sq. Ft.: $227.89 versus $185.09 last year - up 23.1% - and up 4.8% from $217.47 last month
  • Monthly Median Sales Price: $349,000 versus $295,000 last year - up 18.3% - and up 2.9% from $339,000 last month

In March 2020 we wrote that the lack of supply was making life extremely difficult for buyers. It is now down almost 60% since then - can you believe the change that just a year can make? The monthly sales count, pending listing counts and under contract counts are all higher than last year, but not by as much as last month which could be an early indicator that we're seeing a dip in demand - something that can't be felt by sellers or as we continue to record massive price increases due to the scarcity of supply. Even if demand dropped well below normal we would still have multiple offers for most listings and we'd need about 7x the current supply to get back somewhere CLOSE to normalcy - anyone looking to build 30,000 homes like, tonight?

Still, the full impact of the housing shortage has not been fully recognized with continued theories of a foreclosure crisis - just yesterday someone asked me if I had heard that because of COVID, they were told that our housing prices would drop, and was that true. Drop? We're expecting a 30% increase this year and an estimated 3 years to dig ourselves back out of this inventory shortage - so no, I don't expect the prices to drop. Maybe we should take a quick look back at the bubble (and why this isn't a bubble) and then we can go forward again (and reiterate why this is not a bubble). What exactly happened during the bubble you asked? 

  1. The active listing supply increased dramatically between April 2005 and December 2006 due to over-building of new homes and the frantic speculative wave of 2004 quickly losing momentum
  2. Prices started to fall from July 2006 onward due to supply becoming much stronger than demand
  3. The fall in prices meant recent buyers had zero or negative equity from 2007 onwards, loosening their motivation to keep up their mortgage payments
  4. Foreclosures started to be filed starting in 2007 against homes that were quickly abandoned due to the lack of equity
  5. A huge wave of bank owned properties hit the market in 2008 and 2009, adding to the supply problem
  6. The lack of equity meant many homes listed in 2008 through 2011 were short sales.
  7. Investors pounced on the bank-owned homes and short sales from 2009 onwards, bringing the drop in prices to a complete halt by 2011

Soooooo, today - We have far too little supply, not far too much and because of that, we are entering a period of extreme appreciation that will not last forever. We are measuring 23.1% using the monthly $/SF figure and this is quite mild compared with what we expect to see in 2 or 3 months time. The average price per square foot for closed listings rose almost 5% in just 4 weeks during February. Dollar volume is at very high levels for the time of year, thanks to unit sales up 7.4% and pricing up 23.1% compared to a year ago, when the market was already at full steam ahead. We expect to see dollar volume hit new records during the second quarter, along with all of the pricing metrics. So, NOW IS THE TIME. 

But how, you ask? There are more options now than there will ever be for making a move under these conditions. What WILL happen before we shore up the inventory gap is that the selling environment will change. We will make our way through the buyers who have cash to pay over appraised value and the market will no longer necessitate it which means instead of selling for $50,000 over asking, you'll sell for $10,000 over what the last sale in your neighborhood was. You won't get the option to lease back because everyone will have been doing that for a year and everyone will have to MOVE. Builders will get through their interest lists and instead of it being 12-18 months until you can get into a home, it will go back to 8-10 months and the people who have been holding out on listing their home until their new build is complete, will finally list their "old" home.  Right now there is more flexibility in the selling market than there will ever be and more short lived MARKET OF THE MOMENT programs that serve our needs NOW but won't be around when the market doesn't necessitate their value later. So the question is, are you ready?  

Sell Now, Move Later

We get it, you have a lot of equity in your home and would love to sell, but where would you go? We hear a lot of concern about sellers being able to find their new home. Interest rates are low and the market is hot, so do not let fear stop you from taking advantage of these opportunities. Our buyer specialists are here to help home buyer’s find the right home, even in this fast paced market!

Programs Available to Free Up Your Equity 

Opportunities to Sell Now and Move When You Are Ready 

Access to Off-Market and Coming Soon Properties 

Actively Prospecting to Find New Homes 

Ready to Sell Marketing 

Our Buyer's Needs to Potential Sellers 

Writing Competitive Offers to Win in Today's Market

🙌  Community Spotlight 🙌

College Bound AZ

Elizabeth Paulus - Executive Director

The mission of College Bound AZ is to help students from lower income families go to and through college. College Bound AZ is a nonprofit 501c3 corporation founded in 2010 in Mesa, AZ by a partnership with community leaders lead by Elizabeth and her husband Jerry Paulus with the help of supporting agencies Mesa United Way and Mesa Public Schools.  From the initial seven students, College Bound AZ has served over 3,000 students in 11 school districts with educational support services in its first 10 years. They serve students from 14-25 years old who are college bound.

At College Bound AZ they believe every student you put into college has the potential to touch or save the lives of millions with the next innovation. Students from lower income families often don’t have an informed adult in their family to help them receive the federal grant dollars set aside for education or have the mentorship or support to help them with the steps is takes to go to college. Talent is evenly distributed, but opportunity is not and College Bound AZ wants to help change that.

Contact Information:

[email protected]az.org

602-550-3161

College Bound AZ 

College Bound AZ

Amy Jones Group Events

Spring Fling - Call In to Win

March 26 from 9:00 am to 4:00 pm

We are so excited to bring you an awesome day of prizes from overnight stays at local hotels, recreation activities for the whole family, and more!

All YOU have to do is CALL IN! Don't miss this exciting event where picking up the phone and calling us so we can say HELLO and THANK YOU for being in our community - can win you one of these awesome prizes!

Tell all your friends to call in and of course like and share the event on Facebook! More details will be posted soon so don't miss your chance to win!

More Info

Facebook Event

Local Business Mixer 

April 1st from 4:30 pm to 6:00 pm

Join the Amy Jones Real Estate Group for our quarterly business mixer!

As one of the top real estate groups in the Valley, we are always looking for new businesses to share with our clients.

Come by Parlay Kitchen to meet our team of fantastic agents, as well as other local businesses!

This event is being sponsored by our friends at Fidelity National Title Agency - Copper Point.

More Info

Facebook Event

Meet Us At The Drive-In

April 16th from 5:30 pm to 9:00 pm

Join the Amy Jones Real Estate Group for our Summer Movie Event featuring Willie Wonka and the Chocolate Factory!

There will be a ton of chances to win prizes, games, and enjoy food from some amazing local food trucks while catching this fun flick on the big screen!

The event will be held at Schnepf Farms so be on the lookout for more details and to RSVP so we know you are coming!

More Info

Facebook Event

Live.Love.Local - Connecting The Southeast Valley

Connecting with the community lights up our souls and we couldn't be more thrilled to get to know those who run our small businesses. It's so important that we support local, especially right now. Each business below is open, taking appointments, reserving parties and staying safe by following our state guidelines. Let's all do our part in keeping the economy alive, so that when it comes time to fully get back to life, we can all thrive once more.

Amy Jones Group Events

Market of The Moment

Every week, our trusted Title partner, Don Czajkowski with Fidelity National Title has a meeting of the minds to talk about the ever changing real estate market, especially right now. This week, Mindy was a featured guest talking about inventory, new home builds, interest rates, tips to release the equity in your home, alternatives and options to give yourself more time to find a property to purchase when selling and what the Amy Jones Group has been up to this month. Check out all of the recent broadcasts below starting with the one from this week!

Monthly Blog Review

 

Have questions about selling your home? Afraid of what happens if you sell and don’t have somewhere to go? 

Not sure how refinances, home equity lines of credit, or renovation loans work? 

Check out this video series for YOU below!

🚨 HOT On The Market 🚨


 

 

 

 

 

 

🏡 Open Houses 🏡

 

 

👏 Congratulations! Mazel Tov! ¡Felicidades!

None of this is possible without our amazing clients.
We'd love to help you or someone you love if we haven't already - or help you again!
Here are the buyers and sellers who made big moves last month...

 In Case You Missed It...

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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