Weekend Warrior | January 1-3, 2026

Weekend Warrior: Hello, New Year 👋

And just like that, we’re officially into the first weekend of the new year - a moment that somehow feels both energizing and grounding all at once. After weeks of reflection, gratitude, and year-end market deep dives, this weekend feels like the bridge between intention and action. Kids are heading back to school on Monday, routines are snapping back into place, and while many families are easing into the year, real estate is already humming. We’ve got our first offers out for families this weekend, showings underway, open houses galore, and that familiar feeling of straddling two worlds - being present at home while the market quietly gets back to work.

The start of the year is unfolding exactly how we’d expect: strong, steady, and full of opportunity. We already have half a dozen homes coming soon, spanning everything from condos to a $4.5 million estate that is truly going to knock your socks off. Momentum is building beneath the surface, and the early signs are clear - buyers are paying attention, sellers are preparing, and the conversations we encouraged in December are turning into real plans in January.

Community, Impact, and the Power of the Ask

As we close out Chanukah and step into Christmas, this season invites a different kind of reflection — one rooted in gratitude, connection, and the quiet moments that shape who we are and how we show up. For us at the Amy Jones Group, that reflection always comes back to community. This past year wasn’t just about homes bought and sold; it was about people — families navigating change, neighbors showing up for one another, and a community choosing, again and again, to support something bigger than even the hundred transactions we were honored to help guide this year.

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Behind the scenes, we’re also mapping out our New Year calendar, and we can’t wait to bring some favorite things back into the mix. Business mixers are returning, Verde events on the Green are kicking off again this month, and we’ve got some genuinely fun, community-centered moments in store for you as the year unfolds. If the last few weeks were about gratitude and clarity, this weekend feels like the start of execution - thoughtful, intentional, and full of possibility.

📊 Market Watch: The Year Starts Green - and Moving

The market is kicking off the year exactly how we hoped it would. Across Greater Phoenix, we’re starting January with a lot of green - and in the Cromford® Market Index (CMI), green means markets are getting stronger. Momentum is building earlier than usual, activity is picking up, and the first days of the year are already signaling movement beneath the surface.

The Cromford® Market Index closed out December on a strong note, and that strength has carried straight into January. Over the last month, CMI increased in 17 of 18 cities, with 12 cities posting gains of more than 10%. Supply declined more than is typical for this time of year, while demand has begun to regain traction. Demand remains below long-term norms - but the direction, especially this early in January, matters.

And timing matters too.

It’s January 2.
Cue new listings.
Cue more active buyers.
Cue movement.

Where the Strength Is Showing Up

The strongest month-over-month gains continue to belong to Gilbert and Peoria, with Queen Creek, Tempe, Glendale, Goodyear, and Phoenix close behind. Phoenix which represents roughly 25% of total Valley activity rose meaningfully, adding weight to the overall trend and reinforcing that this momentum isn’t isolated. Paradise Valley saw a modest pullback after an exceptionally strong two-year run, but remains firmly in seller-market territory and very healthy by any measure. Overall, the average CMI change over the last month sits at +9.7%, and we now have 10 cities in seller’s markets, 2 balanced, and 6 still favoring buyers - a noticeably tighter configuration than we saw just weeks ago.

What This Means Right Now

This isn’t a market that rewards rushing or waiting passively. It rewards preparation. For sellers, early-year momentum often translates into stronger showing activity, improved confidence, and less reliance on concessions in markets already soaring above 100. Homes that are priced and prepared correctly are beginning to see quicker and more decisive buyer response.

For buyers, opportunity absolutely still exists - inventory is available and negotiating room remains in many areas but leverage is starting to compress as more buyers quietly re-enter the market. In stronger cities, we expect concessions to become less common as spring approaches.

That’s why January matters so much. The buyers and sellers who benefit most from this phase of the market are the ones who schedule early even if their move isn’t planned until summer or fall. Understanding numbers, timing, and options before competition heats up creates flexibility later.

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